TV ratings: Who’s staying and who’s going this fall

5 Mar

It’s that time of year again in TV Land–when the four major networks decide whose shows will be renewed this fall and whose shows won’t. Believe it or not, with reruns ready to begin in less than two months, and “pilot” season for prospective new shows ongoing, the execs are focusing in on what’s hot and what’s not. So here is a look at the four networks and how things are shaping up as of today.
I’m placing shows in three categories: renewed, good bets, or on the bubble. Also, a list of casualties (Toast) is included:

ABC–A few weak sisters in the second-rated network, but a lot of non-changes. So far—
Renewed: Nothing official, but most likely and thus Good Bets include The Bachelor and Bachelorette, Castle, Dancing With the Stars, Grey’s Anatomy, The Middle, Modern Family, Once Upon a Time, Revenge, Scandal, Shark Tank and Suburgatory.
On the Bubble: Body of Proof, Happy Endings, Last Man Standing, Malibu Country, Nashville, The Neighbors.
Toast: 666 Park Avenue, Don’t Trust the B—(although this could be revisited), Last Resort, Private Practice, Zero Hour.

CBS–The top-rated network may make some changes, though nothing has been officially canceled yet.
Renewed: The Big Bang Theory, How I Met Your Mother, NCIS, Survivor.
Good Bets: 2 Broke Girls, The Amazing Race, Blue Bloods, Criminal Minds, Elementary, The Good Wife, Mike and Molly, NCIS: Los Angeles, Person of Interest.
On the Bubble: CSI: NY, Golden Boy, Hawaii Five-O (but likely to be renewed),The Mentalist (another likely renewal), Rules of Engagement, Undercover Boss, Vegas.
Toast: Made in Jersey, Partners.

NBC–The Peacock Network had its strongest fall in years, then screwed it up by splitting seasons between fall and spring, and loading their winter with some duds. So they are back to third again–or fourth behind Fox on some nights. Here’s a look at their potential changes:
Renewed: Only The Voice officially (for two more seasons), but the strongest contenders are The Biggest Loser, Celebrity Apprentice, Chicago Fire, Grimm, Parenthood and Revolution.
Good Bets: Off Their Rockers, Go On, and Parks and Recreation.
On the Bubble: 1600 Penn, Community, Deception, Guys With Kids, Law & Order: SVU, The New Normal, Smash, Up All Night, Whitney
Toast: 30 Rock, Animal Practice, Do No Harm (cancelled in record time after just two episodes), The Office.

FOX–The first network to come out of the blocks, with fewer time slots to fill:
Renewed: American Dad, Bob’s Burgers, Bones, Family Guy, The Following, The Mindy Project, New Girl, Raising Hope, The X Factor.
Good Bets: American Idol, Glee, Kitchen Nightmares.
On the Bubble: The Cleveland Show, Touch.
Toast: Ben and Kate, Fringe, The Mob Doctor.

I didn’t factor in the CW or TNT, the latter producing some great TV shows (Dallas, Perception, Falling Skies–all among my favorites).

So there’s my latest guesses based on some Hollywood intel. But things can change. We’ll keep you posted as the networks make their final choices and see how well I did. Happy viewing!

–Tom Haraldsen

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